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CMT Level II 2018: Theory and Analysis

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  • About the CMT Association
  • What Is the CMT® Program?
  • How This Book Was Created
    • About the Content Selections for Level II
  • Preface
    • Exam Topics and Question Weightings
  • SECTION I: Chart Development and Analysis
    • CHAPTER 1: ChartingPerry J. Kaufman
      • Finding Consistent Patterns
      • What Causes the Major Price Moves and Trends?
      • The Bar Chart and Its Interpretation by Charles Dow
      • Chart Formations
      • Trendlines
      • One-Day Patterns
      • Continuation Patterns
      • Basic Concepts in Chart Trading
      • Accumulation and Distribution—Bottoms and Tops
      • Episodic Patterns
      • Price Objectives for Bar Charting
      • Implied Strategies in Candlestick Charts
      • Practical Use of the Bar Chart
      • Evolution in Price Patterns
      • Notes
    • CHAPTER 2: Moving AveragesCharles D. Kirkpatrick II and Julie R. Dahlquist
      • What Is a Moving Average?
      • How Is a Simple Moving Average Calculated?
      • What Other Types of Moving Averages Are Used?
      • Strategies for Using Moving Averages
      • What Is Directional Movement?
      • What Are Envelopes, Channels, and Bands?
      • Conclusion
      • References
    • CHAPTER 3: Time-Based Trend CalculationsPerry J. Kaufman
      • Forecasting and Following
      • Price Change over Time
      • The Moving Average
      • Geometric Moving Average
      • Accumulative Average
      • Reset Accumulative Average
      • Drop-Off Effect
      • Notes
    • CHAPTER 4: Trend Systems (Part 1)Perry J. Kaufman
      • Why Trend Systems Work
      • Basic Buy and Sell Signals
      • Bands and Channels
      • Applications of a Single Trend
      • Notes
    • CHAPTER 5: Trend Systems (Part 2)Perry J. Kaufman
      • Techniques Using Two Trendlines
      • Multiple Trends and Common Sense
      • Comprehensive Studies
      • Selecting the Right Trend Method and Speed
      • Moving Average Sequences: Signal Progression
      • Early Exits from a Trend
      • Moving Average Projected Crossovers
      • Notes
    • CHAPTER 6: Momentum and OscillatorsPerry J. Kaufman
      • Momentum
      • Divergence Index
      • Oscillators
      • Double-Smoothed Momentum
      • Notes
    • CHAPTER 7: Volume, Open Interest, and BreadthPerry J. Kaufman
      • A Special Case for Futures Volume
      • Variations from the Normal Patterns
      • Standard Interpretation
      • Volume Indicators
      • Breadth Indicators
      • Interpreting Volume and Breadth Systematically
      • An Integrated Probability Model
      • Intraday Volume Patterns
      • Filtering Low Volume
      • Market Facilitation Index
      • Notes
    • CHAPTER 8: Bar Chart PatternsCharles D. Kirkpatrick II and Julie R. Dahlquist
      • What Is a Pattern?
      • Do Patterns Exist?
      • Computers and Pattern Recognition
      • Market Structure and Pattern Recognition
      • Bar Charts and Patterns
      • How Profitable Are Patterns?
      • Classic Bar Chart Patterns
      • Patterns with Rounded Edges—Rounding and Head-and-Shoulders
      • Conclusion
      • References
    • CHAPTER 9: Short-Term PatternsCharles D. Kirkpatrick II and Julie R. Dahlquist
      • Pattern Construction and Determination
      • Traditional Short-Term Patterns
      • Summary of Short-Term Patterns
      • Candlestick Patterns
      • Conclusion
      • References
      • Note
    • CHAPTER 10: Single Candle LinesSteve Nison
      • Section One Spinning Tops and High Wave Candles
      • Getting Started
      • Section Two The Dangerous Doji
      • Getting Started
      • Section Three Long Real Bodies, the Consummate Storytellers
      • Getting Started
    • CHAPTER 11: Multi-Candle PatternsSteve Nison
      • Section One Close Cousins: Piercing, Dark Cloud Covers, Engulfing, and Counterattacks
      • Getting Started
      • Section Two The Harami and Harami Cross, Morning and Evening Stars
      • Getting Started
      • Section Three Picturesque Storytellers: Tweezers, Crows, and Soldiers
      • Getting Started
      • Section Four Disjointed Candles: Rising and Falling Windows
      • Getting Started
    • CHAPTER 12: Forecasting and Trading TechniquesSteve Nison
      • Section One Candle Chart Applications
      • Section Two Trading Guidelines
      • The Guidelines
  • SECTION II: Risk Management
    • CHAPTER 13: Option Pricing BasicsEdwin J. Elton, Martin J. Gruber, Stephen J. Brown, and William N. Goetzmann
      • Types of Options
      • Some Basic Characteristics of Option Values
      • Bibliography
      • Notes
    • CHAPTER 14: Understanding Implied VolatilityRussell Rhoads
      • Historical Versus Forward-Looking Volatility
      • Put-Call Parity
      • Estimating Price Movement
      • Valuing Options: Pricing Calculators and Other Tools
      • Fluctuations Based on Supply and Demand
      • The Impact on Option Prices
      • Implied Volatility and the VIX
    • CHAPTER 15: About the VIX IndexRussell Rhoads
      • History of the VIX
      • Calculating the VIX
      • The VIX and Put-Call Parity
      • The VIX and Market Movement
      • Equity Market Volatility Indexes
      • Amex QQQ Volatility Index
  • SECTION III: Technical Investment Strategies
    • CHAPTER 16: Selection of Markets and Issues: Trading and InvestingCharles D. Kirkpatrick II and Julie R. Dahlquist
      • Which Issues Should I Select?
      • Which Issues Should I Select for Investing?
      • Top-Down Analysis
      • Bottom Up— Specific Stock Selection and Relative Strength
      • Examples of How Selected Professionals Screen for Favorable Stocks
      • Conclusion
      • References
    • CHAPTER 17: Intermarket AnalysisMarkos Katsanos
      • 17.1 Determining Intermarket Relations
      • 17.2 Using Intermarket Correlations for Portfolio Diversification
    • CHAPTER 18: Cycle AnalysisPerry J. Kaufman
      • Cycle Basics
      • Uncovering the Cycle
      • Cycle Channel Index
      • Short Cycle Indicator
      • Phasing
      • Notes
    • CHAPTER 19: Relative Strength Strategies for InvestingMebane T. Faber
      • Abstract
      • Momentum
      • Data
      • Sector Returns
      • Ranking
      • Buy Rule
      • Sell Rule
      • Solutions to the Drawbacks of Relative Strength Systems
      • Real World Implementation
      • Conclusion
      • Appendix A—Data Sources
    • CHAPTER 20: A Stock Market ModelNed Davis and Loren Flath
      • A Stock Market Model
      • Overview of the Fab Five
      • Tape Component
      • The Final Tape Component
      • The Sentiment Component
      • Sentiment Summary
      • The Monetary Component
      • Monetary Component Summary
      • Fab Five Combo Component
      • Combo Model Summary
      • Summing Up the Fab Five
      • How We Use the Fab Five
    • CHAPTER 21: A Simple Model for BondsNed Davis and Loren Flath
      • A Slight Modification
      • Summary
    • CHAPTER 22: Perspectives on Active and Passive Money ManagementRobert A. Weigand
      • Terminology: Investors, Investment Vehicles, Risk and Return
      • The Top-Down Fundamental Analysis Process
      • The Record of Professional Money Managers
      • Market Efficiency, Behavioral Finance, and Adaptive Expectations
      • Additional Perspectives on Investing
      • Professional Investment Policy Statements
      • Summary
      • References
      • Notes
  • SECTION IV: Markets
    • CHAPTER 23: Prospect TheoryEdwin T. Burton and Sunit N. Shah
      • The Reference Point
      • The S-Curve
      • Loss Aversion
      • Prospect Theory in Practice
      • Drawbacks of Prospect Theory
      • Conclusion
      • Notes
    • CHAPTER 24: Perception BiasesEdwin T. Burton and Sunit N. Shah
      • Saliency
      • Framing
      • Anchoring
      • Sunk-Cost Bias
      • Conclusion
      • Notes
    • CHAPTER 25: Inertial EffectsEdwin T. Burton and Sunit N. Shah
      • Endowment Effect
      • Status Quo Effect
      • Disposition Effect
      • Conclusion
      • Notes
  • SECTION V: Statistical Analysis and System Development
    • CHAPTER 26: CorrelationMarkos Katsanos
      • 26.1 The Correlation Coefficient
      • 26.2 Assumptions
      • 26.3 Outliers
      • 26.4 Homoscedasticity
    • CHAPTER 27: RegressionMarkos Katsanos
      • 27.1 The Regression Equation
      • 27.2 Multiple Regression
      • 27.3 Assumptions
      • 27.4 Nonparametric Regression
    • CHAPTER 28: Regression AnalysisPerry J. Kaufman
      • ARIMA
      • Basic Trading Signals Using a LinearRegression Model
      • Measuring Market Strength
      • Notes
    • CHAPTER 29: The Scientific Method and Technical AnalysisDavid Aronson
      • The Most Important Knowledge of All: A Method to Get More
      • The Legacy of Greek Science: A Mixed Blessing
      • The Birth of the Scientific Revolution
      • Faith in Objective Reality and Objective Observations
      • The Nature of Scientific Knowledge
      • The Role of Logic in Science
      • The Philosophy of Science
      • The End Result: The Hypothetico-Deductive Method
      • Rigorous and Critical Analysis of Observed Results
      • Summary of Key Aspects of the Scientific Method
      • If TA Were to Adopt the Scientific Method
      • Objectification of Subjective TA: An Example
      • Subsets of TA
      • Notes
    • CHAPTER 30: Theories of Nonrandom Price MotionDavid Aronson
      • The Importance of Theory
      • Scientific Theories
      • What Is Wrong with Popular TA Theory?
      • The Enemy's Position: Efficient Markets and Random Walks
      • Challenging EMH
      • Behavioral Finance: A Theory of Nonrandom Price Motion
      • Nonrandom Price Motion in the Context of Efficient Markets
      • Conclusion
      • Notes
    • CHAPTER 31: Case Study of Rule Data Mining for the S&P 500David Aronson
      • Data Mining Bias and Rule Evaluation
      • Avoidance of Data Snooping Bias
      • Analyzed Data Series
      • Technical Analysis Themes
      • Performance Statistic: Average Return
      • No Complex Rules Were Evaluated
      • The Case Study Defined in Statistical Terms
      • Rules: Transforming Data Series into Market Positions
      • Time-Series Operators
      • Input Series to Rules: Raw Time Series and Indicators
      • Table of 40 Input Series Used in Case Study
      • The Rules
      • Notes
    • CHAPTER 32: System Design and TestingCharles D. Kirkpatrick II and Julie R. Dahlquist
      • Why Are Systems Necessary?
      • A Complete Trading System
      • How Do I Design a System?
      • How Do I Test a System?
      • Optimization
      • Conclusion
      • References
  • End User License Agreement


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Vörumerki: John Wiley
Vörunúmer: 9781119474616
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CMT Level II 2018: Theory and Analysis

Vörumerki: John Wiley
Vörunúmer: 9781119474616
Rafræn bók. Uppl. sendar á netfangið þitt eftir kaup

Veldu vöru

14.190 kr.
Fá vöru senda með tölvupósti
14.190 kr.